Forecasts that oil could reach $200 a barrel spread rapidly at the start of the US-Iran war and experts pondered whether the Strait of Hormuz could remain closed for a prolonged period. But these dire predictions never materialised. The highest level the global benchmark price, Brent crude futures, reached was $126. Even that spike was brief. Before the recent escalation […]
Read more ›Category: South East Asia
Invalid ‘arbitral award’ muddied South China Sea
It’s been 10 years since the arbitral tribunal constituted under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) issued the so-called South China Sea “arbitral award” on July 12, 2016, but some scholars — particularly those from claimant states — continue to celebrate it as a decisive clarification that reshaped the maritime claims and long-standing disputes in […]
Read more ›How do you think, Elon Musk? Documents of secret negotiations between Russia and China revealed the program for the destruction of Starlink satellites
Documents on the secret negotiations between Russia and China, which were at the disposal of The Insider (and verified by the publication), confirm that military cooperation between the countries has gone deeper than it was publicly known. Among other things, China has involved Russia in the program to combat the Starlink satellite system Elon Musk, which includes both legal and […]
Read more ›Jihadists Look to Kashmir, Kashmiris Look Away
Many jihadists, building on the Palestinian model, increasingly see Kashmir as prime land to conquer: the next great cause for global jihad. Pakistan has actively enabled and amplified this jihadist narrative by positioning itself as the foremost protector of Muslims, effectively asserting ownership over Kashmir. In June 2026, Pakistani paramilitary forces opened fire on protesters in… Kashmir. The protesters were […]
Read more ›ZUF-NSCN-IM: Fractured Peace
The resurgence of armed confrontations between the Zeliangrong United Front (ZUF) and the National Socialist Council of Nagalim-Isak-Muivah (NSCN-IM) signals the re-emergence of one of Manipur’s most enduring intra-Naga rivalries. Although both organisations remain engaged in separate peace processes with the Government of India (GoI), recurrent gunfights across Tamenglong, Noney and Kangpokpi Districts indicate that negotiated arrangements have done little […]
Read more ›Les études classiques comme infrastructure stratégique – Pourquoi les grandes puissances lisent Thucydide
Consultez chaque jour le compte Telegram de Robert Steuckers (liens vers des articles, dans les six langues de l’Académie Royale) : t.me/steuckers La rivalité sino-américaine est devenue l’une des questions déterminantes de la politique internationale. Les décideurs et les universitaires des deux côtés de la barrière se sont retrouvés à discuter, à plusieurs reprises, d’un historien grec mort il y […]
Read more ›Why China shakes the imperialist order
China is not imperialist The claim that China has become an imperialist power is now routine in Washington, the corporate press, and parts of the left influenced by liberal geopolitics. It is repeated so often that it passes for truth. But it collapses under Marxist analysis. Imperialism, as Lenin defined it, is not simply “big-power behavior.” It is a stage […]
Read more ›NATOisation of the Western Pacific in an attempt to drive a wedge between China and Russia
On July 3, Putin donned a military uniform. His usual attire of suits and ties, coupled with his sudden change to military uniform to inspect command posts and receive frontline reports, sent a clear signal: the situation was no longer ordinary. In the Russian mindset, donning a military uniform signifies a critical juncture. Russia is facing a real threat. Like […]
Read more ›Systemic containment? EU policies to suppress trade and economic relations with China
Since 2026, trade frictions between China and the EU have intensified. As China’s manufacturing sector continues to upgrade towards high-end sectors, the EU’s trade policy towards China has accelerated its shift from trade defense to institutional restrictions. In the past six months, the EU has launched and implemented a number of trade control tools, covering multiple dimensions such as tariffs, […]
Read more ›China has thwarted the US plan to replicate the Cold War containment strategy
The United States wants to use the G2 and the internal circulation narrative to shape China into a second Soviet Union, but China has broken through this impasse, turning red terror into red confidence. In recent years, a very subtle reversal has occurred in the international public opinion arena: the “socialist threat” rhetoric that once resounded throughout the Western world […]
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